Thursday, 24 May 2012

USD/CHF false break.

We've just seen a false-break to the up-side in the Dollar Swiss pair.  This converges with previous major resistance and is probably worth a top-picking attempt with tight pre-determined stop above the high of the preceding hammer candle on the 4hr chart as shown below. Generally I would be wary of fighting the clear up-trend in this pair as the global "risk-off" theme continues, however, the risk reward could still be here if resistance holds-up and profit taking ensues.    


I will be looking to add more if we see a break below the triangle set-up as illustrated on the 1hr chart:




EUR/USD bottom picking.

We've got a text book false break set-up in the Euro dollar pair on the 4hr chart as illustrated below.  This set-up gives us the opportunity to go long with a tight pre-determined stop below the low of the preceding 4hr hammer candle.      


Monday, 23 April 2012

Gold Long set-up.

In Gold we have a nice set-up on the Daily chart.  After forming an inside day on Friday, Gold broke out to the downside today before re-tracing the entire move and duly forming a false-break hammer candle on the daily chart.  This has occurred at previous support and after a gradual loss of momentum in selling pressure since topping out in Feb. If we can close above the 1630-35 level I will be looking to get long...

 

    

Wednesday, 18 April 2012

GBP/JPY follow up.

We have seen this pair trade-up to a key resistance level where I have taken profit for a respectable 2/3:1 risk reward.  I will be watching for further price action set-ups here...


Monday, 16 April 2012

Long Set-Up in GBP/JPY

We have seen a false-break lower in the GBP/JPY pair today forming hammers on both the Daily and 4hr time - frames as illustrated below.  This Bullish price-action has coincided with the 38.2 Fib retracement.  I have accordingly initiated a long position and will aim to run it to new highs if the dominant Bull trend can prevail.  



Thursday, 29 March 2012

Aussie Long initiated

Following on from my comments on Gold in the previous post; we can also find a similar set-up in the AUS/USD pair.  As a commodity currency, the fate of the Aussie is often correlated with Gold so it is unsurprising that a similar set-up has materialized in both markets simultaneously.  That being said, they are not the same market and a position in both is somewhat diversified.  However, your position risk should obviously be carefully managed if going long both the Aussie and Gold as they are highly correlated when it comes down to global Macro economy especially China during the overnight session (GMT).

Gold Long set-up

As illustrated below it is apparent that we were correct to take profits when we did in Gold (post 27 March) as momentum did indeed slow and we have since seen a persistent pull-back.

On the 4hr chart below: a decent long set-up has presented itself again with another clear false break of previous support (forming the bottom of the bearish mother candle) this also coincides with the 61.8 Fib level which, if respected, can form the beginning of a powerful 3rd wave of momentum.

I am therefore looking to get long on a close above this level with a tight stop below the low of this latest Hammer candle.